Oil dips but U.S., Europe demand growth optimism keep prices supported
Brent crude futures fell 7 cents, or 0.1%, to $67.49 a barrel at 0619 GMT, after climbing 1.2% on Monday.
SINGAPORE: Oil prices dipped on Tuesday, reversing gains earlier in the session after more U.S. states eased lockdowns and the European Union sought to attract travellers, helping to offset concerns over fuel demand in India as COVID-19 cases soar.
Brent crude futures fell 7 cents, or 0.1%, to $67.49 a barrel at 0619 GMT, after climbing 1.2% on Monday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures also ticked 6 cents, or 0.1%, lower to $64.43 a barrel, after gaining 1.4% on Monday.
“Despite shorter-term profit-taking pushing oil slightly lower in Asia, both Brent and WTI have now moved to near the top end of their one-month ranges once again,” said Jeffrey Halley, market analyst at OANDA. Prices are being supported by the prospect of a pick-up in fuel demand in the United States and Europe, as New York state, New Jersey and Connecticut were set to ease pandemic curbs and the European Union planned to open up to more foreign visitors who have been vaccinated, analysts said.
“Optimism on improving demand appears to be the main driver for the rise in oil prices at the moment after (New York Fed Bank President John Williams) signalled the U.S. economy is poised to grow at its fastest rate in decades,” Ash Glover, head of CMC Markets Alpha, said.
For further signs of rising U.S. oil demand, traders will be watching for reports on crude and product stockpiles from the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday and the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.
Five analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that U.S. crude inventories fell 2.2 million barrels in the week to April 30. Oil inventories rose in the previous two weeks.
The rate of refinery utilisation was expected to have increased by 0.5 percentage points last week, from 85.4% of total capacity in the week ended April 23, according to the poll.
A weaker dollar, hit by an unexpected slowdown in U.S. manufacturing growth, also helped shore up oil prices on Tuesday. The lower dollar makes oil more attractive to buyers holding other currencies.
In India, the total number of infections so far rose to just short of 20 million, propelled by a 12th straight day of more than 300,000 new cases which is expected to hit fuel demand in the world’s most populous country after China.
“The Indian situation is playing tug-of-war with optimism over a rebound in the West, but with a patchwork of restrictions across the country ranging in severity and duration, demand loss estimates are hard to pin down and a moving target,” said Vandana Hari, energy analyst at Vanda Insights.